American Samizdat

Thursday, March 31, 2005. *




When they do the most under reported or censored stories of 2004, one of the top contenders would have to be statistical anomalies in the 2004 presidential election. And today, a number of PH D level statisticians have released a report showing that the numbers don't add up. If you're not aware of this, exit polling is pretty accurate. In Germany, where they use paper ballots, the exit polling gets the final vote count right, like, 99.9 percent of the time. Republican officials, who want to eliminate exit polling here, used contrasting exit polls/actual vote count numbers to help lobby for new elections in the Ukraine--thus proving that they refuse to recognize the principles behind both chutzpah and irony. Here's a snippet of the report from the Free Press article:

"The consortium that conducted the presidential exit polls, Edison/Mitofsky, issued a report in January suggesting that the discrepancy between election results and exit polls occurred because Bush voters were more reticent than Kerry voters in response to pollsters.

"The authors of this scientific study of the National Election Data Archive Project, consider that scenario highly unlikely, based on extensive analysis of the election data presented in their report “Final Study of the 2004 Presidential Election Poll Discrepancies”. They conclude, /“The required pattern of exit poll participation by Kerry and Bush voters to satisfy the exit poll data defies empirical experience and common sense under any assumed scenario.”/

An executive summary of the report by Josh Mitteldorf of Temple University has been released today and is available at: http://electionarchive.org/ucvAnalysis/US/Exit_Polls_summary.pdf. The full 25 page scientific report will be released tomorrow. This group's preliminary study on the exit poll discrepancies was not refuted by any PhD statistician in America, and we expect our final study to be similarly received in the academic community
. "

Amidst the data, many extremely unlikely anomalies exist, invariably in President Bush’s favor. For one, a state-by-state analysis of the discrepancy between exit polls and official election results shows highly improbable skewing of the election results biased towards the president.

We have had election fraud in this country before. November's wildly inaccurate presidential exit polls should warrant concern of the highest order by every American citizen.

Now, the folks at black box voting, who I quoted a few weeks ago, don't have the best reputation in town. But take a look at the folks who signed on to this study. And of course, as has been stated before, if this is true, everything else really doesn't matter. The Democrats can move to the commie left or the abortion bombing clinic right...they will lose. I don't know if you can yet call that fascism, but you certainly can't call it democracy. Here are the wacky, out of the mainstream contributors:


*Contributors and Supporters of the Report include:*
*Josh Mitteldorf*, PhD - Temple University Statistics Department
*Steven F. Freeman*, PhD - Center for Organizational Dynamics, University of Pennsylvania
*Brian Joiner*, PhD - Prof. of Statistics (ret) University of Wisconsin
*Frank Stenger*, PhD - Professor, School of Computing, University of Utah
*Richard G. Sheehan*, PhD -Professor, Department of Finance, University of Notre Dame
*Paul F. Velleman*, PhD - Associate Prof., Department of Statistical Sciences, Cornell University
*Victoria Lovegren*, PhD - Department of Mathematics, Case Western Reserve University
*Campbell** B. Read*, PhD - Prof. Emeritus, Department of Statistical Science, Southern Methodist University
*Jonathan Simon*, J.D., National Ballot Integrity Project
*Ron Paul Baiman, *PhD* *– Institute of Government and Public Affairs, University of Illinois at Chicago

posted by Philip Shropshire at 2:00 PM
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